Open Seats

The incumbency factor in US politics means that the seats most likely to be won by the other party are the so called "Open Seats". This is bad news for the Republicans, since they have a much larger number of retirees. Using The Cook Political Report the following are the Open Seats in the House of Representatives most at risk of being lost by the Republicans

Polling suggests good chance of a turnover -

Arizona 01

Illinois 11

New York 13

New York 25

Virginia 11

Open Republican seats currently too close to call -

Alabama 02

Louisiana 04

Minnesota 03

New Jersey 03

New Jersey 07

New Mexico 01

Ohio 15

Ohio 16